EURUSD 10.05.2017
Die Präsidentschaftswahlen sind vom Tisch. Nun kann sich das Forex-Paar vom EUR/USD wieder getrost den Elliott-Wellen widmen.
WEEKLY SITUATION
Alternative 1
Bei der ersten Alternative befindet sich das Währungspaar übergeordnet in einem Tripple. Hier läuft derzeit die letzte Welle Z in Form einer untergeordneten wxyxz. Durch den jüngsten Anstieg aufgrund der Wahlen erwarten wir für diese Alternative zunächst einen Rücksetzer zu den untergeordneten b Targets. Diese liegen bei 1.08496, 1.07962 und 1.07427. Im Anschluss rechnen wir mit einer finalen untergeordneten c zur z zur übergeordneten Z. In diesem Fall ergibt sich ein massives Cluster von drei Ziel-Zonen für eine anschließende Short-Bewegung.
Alternative 2
In der zweiten Alternative könnte ebenso die Welle 4 eines Impuls abgeschlossen sein. Dementsprechend folgt nun die Welle 5 down. Dieses Szenario hätte eine Parität zur Folge.
Alternative 3
Die dritte Alternative unterstellt zunächst ebenso eine Fortsetzung der Abwärts-Bewegung. Hierbei befinden wir uns übergeordnet zwar weiterhin in einer Welle 4 nach oben, doch untergeordnet folgt nun vom Tripple eine Welle X2 nach unten. Das Hauptziel liegt dabei bei 1.07207. Allerdings ist das Timing der vorangegangenen Welle Y mit 261% schon sehr vorangeschritten.
Alternative 4
Die letzte Alternative zeigt uns die Super-Short-Variante. Hierbei befinden wir uns erst in einer Welle 2 der Impuls-Bewegung nach unten. Hierbei ergeben sich zwei Varianten. Entweder ist die 2 bereits abgeschlossen (untergeordnet als WXY) oder es folgt zunächst wie in Alternative 3 beschrieben eine untergeordnete X2 mit anschließender Z zur übergeordneten 2. Vom übergeordneten Timing der Welle 2 ist beides möglich.
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